The second term of US President Donald trump threatened as it became known edition of Politico, supporters of the head of state concerned about declining support for their leader in the key terms of the election States. Polls show the advantage of Joe Biden — the opponent of the current head of the White house. Against this background, the President, together with advisers looking for a new strategy against the democratic candidate.The situation around the upcoming presidential election is seen as the team of Donald trump is so serious that the White house came to two ex-adviser to the President, still remaining his closest allies: David Bossi and Corey Lewandowski.It is not the ordinary associates of the President: Mr. Lewandowski was the first chief of staff of Donald trump during the previous election campaign. This man, in recognition of the President, has largely ensured his victory in the extremely important for him the early primaries in new Hampshire. Mr Bossi, in turn, was the Deputy head of election headquarters of Donald trump from September 2016, after the retirement of Corey Lewandowski, and also helped the candidate to come to victory.We are talking in particular about Arizona, where presidential candidates from Democrats have not won since the election of bill Clinton in 1996. Surveys month after month show that have guaranteed himself the nomination of the Democrats, Joe Biden there’s a better chance to win than Donald trump,— its average margin is 4%.The figure may look insignificant, but in 2016, Donald trump defeated Hillary Clinton in Arizona with a score of 48.08% vs of 44.58% and, according to the rules of the American electoral system, took the votes of all 11 electors from state to state. Similar situation in Michigan, where in 2016, Mr. trump scored only 0.23% more than Mrs. Clinton (47,50% vs 47,27%), providing a support 16 of the electors from state to state. This year, according to surveys of the advantage of Joe Biden there is a significant 5.5 per cent.The list can be continued: PA (0.42 percent the advantage of Donald trump in 2016, a 6.5% advantage Joe Biden today), Wisconsin (0,77% and 2.7%), Florida (1,20% and 3.3%). To reassure the head of state can only surveys in North Carolina, but they give him an advantage of 1%.”It will be difficult. Today trump the weaker player”,— told the publication Politico Greg McNally, a veteran of several political campaigns of Republicans in Michigan. According to him, this year the Democrats are prepared to ensure better voter turnout, that could turn the tide — and as a result the state would get Joe Biden. “Polls do paint a fairly disturbing picture, as in 2016 But 2020 is very special. Yes, opinion polls do not like me, but today’s polls will decide the fate of the autumn elections,” the divideI considerations local the former speaker of the house of representatives, James Bolger. “The President must stay positive, then he will be successful and probably win in Pennsylvania,” said in turn, the current speaker of the house of representatives of Pennsylvania Mike Turzai.”Drop the gloves and send him to a knockout. If you have advantage on budget and ahead of a June, why don’t you bury it right now?” — wondered in a conversation with Politico, one who wished to remain unnamed Republican close to the White house.The US economy, once the former main asset of Donald trump, in the course of the epidemic COVID-19 became one of his most painful problems: the unemployment rate rising, consumer spending falling, falling GDP. The report of the forecasters Oxford Economics shows that because of the situation Donald trump could defeat “of historic proportions” in September of 2020, with the support of only 35% of voters. Report this company to the epidemic predicted the President a landslide victory with a score of 55% of the vote. “Must be the economic miracle that trump had an advantage among those who “vote with their wallet”,” reports CNN report. However, the authors themselves admit that their prediction takes into account only economic factors, but does not take into account the personal qualities of the candidates and their political programs. The report notes that Donald trump has a chance, if by November the economy will begin to recover, and turnout among Democrats is low.Donald trump is already taking steps to remedy a situation: for example, over the past few weeks and he went to Arizona, and Pennsylvania. And outlined the main directions of attack against the main opponent: the Republicans and Donald trump pushing the “corruption” of Joe Biden, his “dementia” and political inconsistency (see “Kommersant” on 27 may). Announced about changes in the campaign headquarters of politician: his head brad Parscale appears the Deputy and the new head unit.In mid-may the approval rating of Donald trump, according to Gallup, has reached a record high of 49%. And associates of the White house believe that if the economy will recover by November, a second term will be achievable, even initial plans to rely on strong economic growth and low unemployment failed due to the coronavirus.Alexey Naumov
