In the presidential election which will be held on Sunday, June 28, attended by 11 candidates. Although first round leader Andrzej Duda, the results of the polls show that the votes cast for him, most likely, will not be enough to win.
the fact that in presidential elections the winner is the candidate who receives more than half of the inhabitants of the country, who came to the polls. For the tune, according to the survey all reputable research centers in Poland, are ready to vote about 40 percent of the vote. His main opponent – the mayor of Warsaw Rafał Trzaskowski surveys provide 30 percent of the vote. In third place were two with similar results in the area of 8-9 percent of the vote – the journalist and TV presenter Szymon Hołownia, and the representative of the Polish peasant party Vladislav Cominac-Reeds.
Thus, the results of the presidential elections will be summed up only after the second round, which is likely to take place on 12 July. And here, if you believe the polls, there was a paradoxical situation: any of the three opponents of the incumbent President could win it, even if in the first round the candidate was far from the podium. For example, Szymon Hołownia, who, according to the center Polister, in the first round will receive a little more than 10 percent of the vote in the second round, can count on 48 percent, with 44 of Andrzej Duda. As Rafal Trzaskowski and Vladislav Cominac-Cane in a duel with the current head of state have equal chances with him.
Because the rules in the second round out the candidates with the highest number of votes, the battle for the presidency probably played out between the President of Poland and mayor of Warsaw. Szymon Hołownia has reported that “of two evils choose the lesser”, and the second round will support Trzaskowski. However, the outcome is still not certain.
Polish centers of public opinion research, which has traditionally been very accurately predict the balance of power in the parliamentary elections, during the elections of the President why-that very often are wrong. So, on elections in 2015 polls predicted the victory of the former was then President Bronislaw Komorowski. According to polls, he was to receive 40 percent of the votes, and Duda – 10 percent less. In reality, the dude beat Komorowski in the first round, and the second finally defeated him by a margin of three percent 48,5 51,5 against.