MOSCOW, 18 Jul – RIA Novosti. To draw lessons from the pandemic of coronavirus, the world must become less permeable, that is, States should have the right to impose additional control measures in the “superesportes” diseases at airports and borders, said to RIA Novosti, the American economist, the author of the book and theory “the black Swan” by Nassim Taleb.
Black Swan theory Taleb, which deals with hardly predictable and rare events with huge impact force and requiring a new explanation, which in the end turns out to be simple. Experience has shown that nobody can predict the crisis (this assumes the theory itself), but experts around the world regularly try to do.
“And, although the current pandemic is not yet over, if we solve this problem, next time we will know exactly how to react, if the situation is associated with respiratory illness. But if the disease is not respiratory, we will need to re-learn”, he warned.
According to Taleb, pandemic coronavirus is not a “black Swan”, since its distribution can be predicted. “The essence of the “black Swan” is that it is impossible to predict. What we call “white” and “gray” swans are those events about which to worry, because they are inevitable,” he added.
the company should determine its vulnerability to these events in the future to be able to resist them, Taleb believes. “We had a vulnerability to the pandemic, now people know about them, we have financial vulnerability, so people know about them. We have climate vulnerability, people know about them. Now we have to worry about GMOs, the genetic modifications, as one source of vulnerability, and people now will pay attention to it,” he concluded.
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