Party life became a little more fun and diverse: minusovki list of political organizations, having the right to participate in elections, has expanded driven by the writer Zakhar by Prilepine party For “the truth”. On the way three more parties registered this year — “New people”, “Party of direct democracy”, “Green alternative”. Observer “MK” tried to figure out why anyone would want to light new lights in our political planetariums.
Talking about that before the next elections to the state Duma, the Kremlin would like to revive the political landscape went even in the middle of last year. In principle, nothing unusual in such plans. In the language of the President of one of the neighboring powers, the authorities have periodically “peretrahivaet” party system, in an effort to prevent excessive stagnation and boredom.
Somewhat unusual, however, the diversity of the current upgrade. Updating the system is simultaneously in two directions. On the one hand, the number of parties is shrinking fast enough. A year ago the list consisted of 61 points. Now 49. However, in parallel, as you can see, the process of establishing new political organizations. Although much less rapid.
However, to assume that the number sacrificed in favor of quality — less, they say, but better — the reason, alas, no. Much more to the situation saying “fuck radish is not sweeter”.
Irreplaceable
a New party in Russia is very easy to register. A new party in Russia to register is almost impossible. According to formal logic, true only one of the two statements. But the modern Russian politics negate the law of contradiction: being true to both points.
it All depends on what kind of party. If she’s threatening power, or simply unsympathetic to her, no chance of the check not really. This confirms which began in 2012, but never completed history of the party project of Alexei Navalny. Over the past eight years, navalnitsa took nine attempts to register the party — to no avail.
Another example is the suspension of activities of “Civil initiatives”. Within two years, the party tried to register under a new name (“Party of change”) and new leader (Dmitry Gudkov). But in the end Gudkov conceded defeat and left the party together with his team.
“We honestly went the way to the end: several congresses, numerous statements, and, finally, we finally and illegally refused re-registration, — said the politician. — You can spend another 10 congresses, but this is obviously useless. Sources in the Ministry of justice said directly that there is a political decision to close the party, led Gudkov”.
the Phenomenal rapidity with which th��Verka new parties have overcome registration barriers, the path from the beginning of the procedure to obtain a certificate of registration took in average three months — clearly says that in respect of them was a very different “political decision”. Themselves “recruits”, of course, are not recognized in the bias power. But those close to her spin doctors don’t make any secret of it. For example, in a fresh study of the political conjuncture bluntly States that prilepska party to the Kremlin as a “spare tire” in case of “gerontological crisis of the parliamentary opposition.”
If you believe the analysts of the CPC, the government was very disturbed due to the age not the physical condition of Gennady Zyuganov and Vladimir Zhirinovsky: “the leaders of the Communists and the liberal Democrats will not be able to withstand the pace of the Federal election (meaning the upcoming elections to the state Duma. A. K.), and they will have to adapt the formats of their participation in the campaign under the natural age limit. You can’t even discount some of the radically negative development of events, in which one or both of them will be forced to withdraw from the parliamentary race shortly before its start or during its course”.
One consequence of this state of emergency will be “the growth of unpredictability in the behavior of a part of the protest voters who can suddenly reinforce one of the outsiders of the race, experts predict. — In case of occurrence of emergency situations associated with the termination of political activity one of the leaders or both, the Kremlin will have to carry out an operation to intercept leadership.”
With the Communist party of the big problems in this sense will not believe the CPC: “the Communists have a pretty wide range of party members, who without prejudice will be able to replace Zyuganov and retain the loyalty of existing in Russian party politics the rules of the game”. But with the liberal democratic party will have to Tinker: “the Liberal Democrats are a party leader, in which any of the members of the weaker Zhirinovsky. The unexpected departure of Zhirinovsky’s political scene includes both the risks of collapse of the party and the defection of its members into other projects, and the risks of transfer of the votes of the liberal Democrats to other parties”.
However, the trouble does not catch the government by surprise. “In such a scenario, the Kremlin has prepared options for display of promotion, say the strategists. Is primarily a new batch of Zahara prilepina “the truth”.
In General, it is essential we do not.
Common history
political Scientist Alexander Kynev looks at things more simply. “The problem, I think, common — spoilertv he replies to the question about the purpose of new party projects. — The task is to move a part of the protest vote. In the first place the system of the opposition. Theoretically, it can also be based on the involvement in politics of people who are now configured antisistema. Had to hear such talk. And this is folly: the arrival of new voters will further reduce the percentage of “ER.”
Doubt, however, the analyst and that will be task number one. “I don’t think it will succeed, predicts Kanev. I don’t see them in the list of people who would be able to attract a significant number of votes, which would be at least some credibility in the regions. This is a completely non-political people that have no rating. So far, it looks just as the development budget”.
in Fairness, it should be noted that frontmen “For the truth” still cannot be called “noramimi”. The leader of the party — known writer and broadcaster. One of the deputies is a popular actor Sergei Puskepalis. Among the “persons of the party” — Russian movie star Ivan Okhlobystin and Hollywood — Steven Seagal, film Director Vladimir Menshov, rock musician Vadim Samoilov.
However, in the opinion of Kabardino-Balkaria, and they “electoral hopeless.” The problem is the positioning of the party. “In the narrow niche segment of Patriotic fame does nothing, — said the analyst. — This niche is very small. The whole experience of participating in the elections of ultra-Patriotic parties was extremely unsuccessful. They collected a completely insignificant percentage of votes.”
as proof Kanev leads regional failures renewed “homeland”: despite the substantial investment in the project, the results fluctuate at the level of a half to two percent. More — only where “homeland” is cooperating with the local business group, but in this case, “there was a campaign, not unrelated to the Federal branding”. In other cases, the party “flew by as plywood over Paris”. A recent example is the campaign in the Khabarovsk territory. “If the party Prilepin will take away votes from the “homeland” — it would be funny — concludes the analyst. — Dwarfs will compete with the midgets”.
According to Kanev, the authors of the new party projects make a fundamental error: “They absolutely do not understand how a modern society. It seems that if you create a party of gamers, the gamers will vote for it (it apparently is about “direct democracy Party”, whose leader Vyacheslav Makarov is Director of product World of Tanks company Wargaming.net. A. K.).
But that’s nonsense, because each person has a lot of affiliate (emotional connection of the individual with other people. A. K.) — by age, profession, gender, ethnicity, religious affiliation, geographical location… Why, with a hangover someone decided that one affiliate more important than the others? The expectation is that leople of a certain social identity suddenly vote for the person of the same identity, naive to the point of madness.
people Have free will. What man has in common with someone in hell does not mean that people with the same trait will come to vote for him. No such pattern. People need to convince. To succeed in politics, you need a professional to do it for a long time. It — “and nothing else.
Semantic hallucinations
Familiarity with policy documents and political statements of the first new parties fully confirms the words of an expert. A narrow circle of party interests, and they are terribly far from people. Well, except for that “New people”. But here the proximity to a very specific electorate.
the Founder of the party is Alexey Nechaev, the owner of cosmetic company Oriflame that distribute their products through network marketing. There, in Faberlic runs, the nominal leader of the party Irena Lukianova, which, remarkably, was not even mentioned on the party website. Most of the party activists also somehow connected with the company.
This approach, of course, greatly simplifies the interaction with potential voters: to sow the seeds of the party’s wisdom will be without job. On the other hand, and the production received a further impetus: the campaign will undoubtedly have a positive impact on the number of customers.
In this combination you can even find philosophical meaning. In man because, as bequeathed Anton Pavlovich, everything should be fine and the face and thoughts. One problem — thoughts from the “cosmetic party” is sparse. Vaguely guessed that the “New people” parachuted in right-wing liberal niche. “The main thing for our party is the development of each person, which can seamlessly live in a free and advanced society”, declares the party program.
But successful landing, “landing”, it seems, does not understand what to do next. Last creative party — proposal “to introduce criminal liability for leaking and criminal carelessness when storing biometric data of Russians” — to ideas that can capture the masses, does not belong.
But there is at least some, albeit unclaimed, ideology. “The direct democracy Party” and it is missing. “The meaning and purpose of existence of the party, says the program “RPM” is providing its members the opportunity to initiate discussion and to vote on any topical issue of public-political and inner-party life and subsequent mandatory implementation of decisions by all legal means available to the party.” Well, that is no sense.
well, in its own way it’s even stylish. What can’tI have to say about the “Green alternative”. Party propaganda is so primitive that sometimes there is a feeling that you are dealing with the trolling of the highest level. Sophisticated banter.
In one of the “datsibao”, posted on the official website of “Green alternative” party, for example, enjoys excellent state of the national health and worries about far from our happiness abroad: “it Hurts to look as bright and famous people from other countries, in the face of coronavirus, helpless and abandoned to their state. Among them were modern and the global leader in the environmental movement Greta Thunberg. 17-year-old girl suspected COVID-19, but nobody can help in his native Sweden… We are waiting for Greta to treatment in Russia. It certainly will provide all necessary help”.
the Party Prilepin, admittedly, compares favorably with peers in terms of styling and from the point of view of ideological maturity. Here no chewing gum: everything is clear and with purpose, and very much with the tools. But not the fact that this clarity will add to the party’s popularity. Sometimes really better to chew than to speak.
the Naked truth
“For the truth” is not even trying to seem oppositional. Lips of the leader of the main party his mission proclaims conservatism — protection of the current political system against external and internal enemies. “I am absolutely convinced that in Russia the Maidan are trying to implement a variant or a variant of “Perestroika-2″, and in it is invested very large resources, — said Zakhar Prilepin in a recent interview with Ksenia Sobchak. — I have a priority one: I don’t want to allow these people to power in my country. At the moment I profitable that the government remains specifically of Vladimir Putin”.
by the Way, an important detail: as the owner of Faberlic, and the founder of the party “New people” Nechaev, Prilepin is part of the Central headquarters of the popular front, whose leader is known to be the President.
But the loyalists — not the main feature of “zapadentsev”. Anyway — not a distinctive feature. Loyalists, in one way or another are all registered political parties. Other — see above — do not hold here. Features Prilepin and his comrades not power, but to its opponents. This fad party, perhaps, really out of competition.
the Park is trying to speak on this subject carefully. Though in his utterances and then slips the sacred hatred of the enemies of the state liberals, “the slaves of the West” and other “geeks”. And the main ideologist “of zapadentsev”, the Secretary of the expert Council of the party Oleg Matveychev (former government official and now an eminent political scientist, Professor at the Higher school of Economics), and not withsupported himself.
“we Need a 37th year,” he said firmly “Secretary for ideology” in his sensational post on Facebook. The reason for the statements were heard by them from someone terrible news: a kind of “liberal couple” who came from “dysfunctional country”, refused to fill the position in such cases, the questionnaire. Later, however, “after threats that they will take to Kommunarka, all filled”. But the bitter aftertaste remained.
“That’s it, this bastard then infects others — angry scientist. — They are not just a threat as a fifth column in the information war. They just kill us. And so must be destroyed surgically. Without executions. The demographic situation is not the same. To the uranium mines. The construction of ports along the Northern sea route… Addresses and passwords from there. All podpisala Bulk, all the participants of the rallies… and the other members of the opposition and public activities. The evacuation of the entire gang in the Northern territory can take up to a week. And it becomes easier to breathe.”
For these revelations Matveychev got a reprimand from the management of the HSE: statements deemed “unacceptable for a teacher of the University”. Party For “the truth” to the scandal did not react, which means that for her, these statements are quite acceptable. The party shares these views.
it must be noted, incidentally, that in the last decade, the views of Professor evolved in the direction of easing. 10 years ago, he dreamed about the physical destruction of the opposition: “you Know what I dream? So one day you all gathered on the big Maidan, all bawlers shouters network hamsters fighters against corruption, advocating for the power of the people, of jealous goats, count the money in someone else’s pocket, manipulated suckers and losers of all stripes blame anyone but themselves… And when all you got out of a tank army and all svolota, all shit of the nation has reeled to the track, have all burned out with a hot iron”.
it is possible, however, it’s not evolution, but simple prudence. Noblesse oblige. Status does not allow the Professor to fully expose the ideological inside. Here and in his articles and statements posted on the party website, there is no zazhigatelnoe.
Matveychev quite tedious, proves that dislike for authority — the essence of evil: “Typically if the behavior of the person, hate the power? Whether such a belief natural? No, this is not typical behavior… In the Soviet Union, especially Stalin’s Soviet Union, never was that man could go around saying: “But Stalin, Molotov or a large salary…”
Although there secret no-no spills out. “The bulk of the herd of cattle herders, proves the Professor and ideologue. — Shepherds are not the best sheep, the shepherds forged ��on other technologies…” Maybe someone at the party and will attract such slogans. But hand on heart — it is unlikely that many.
…the recently Departed Eduard Limonov shortly before his death appreciated pilipinskiy the party project as “vulgar thing”, electoral term means — 1.25 percent. Of course, Edward Veniaminovich cannot be attributed to impartial observers. He clearly has not forgiven his desertion Prilepin. For reference: till December 2018 that was part of the leadership Limonov’s unregistered Other Russia, the successor to the long-banned national Bolshevik party. And was expelled from the party for joining the front.
“He zealously argues that the “Grandfather”, that is, Lemons, jealous of his shifting us in that way — wrote Lemons in one of my last posts in LJ. — I never came jealous this literary insect to my books or my wars…”
“Grandfather”, of course, unfair: Prilepin’s a lot of things, but not “literary insects”. But in the political incarnation of the writer entomological something, perhaps, really is.
