Do we deserve what is happening: a deadly epidemic of a hitherto unknown virus, closed borders, digital pass and attempts to create artificial intelligence that will control.. .What can we expect? About his vision of the further development of events told by famous science fiction writer Sergei Lukyanenko, among other things, is not only a writer but also a doctor by profession.
the Best world of victorious communism, free pastries in street machines and travel to other planets is thus described our happy tomorrow Soviet science fiction.
Cyberpunk and the post-Apocalypse, a global pandemic, dying civilization, gloomy pictures of deserted cities is all the tradition of Western fiction.
Judging by what is happening today, Westerners were more accurate predictors. So where and when we slipped the fork leading to a bright future Strugatsky, and Kir Bulychev?
Sergey, where do you think and when we passed the point of no return, after which the “beautiful far” Alice Selezneva became impossible? Why true worst predictions? Is what is happening today with us, right?
– I think the point of no return occurred at a time when Soviet society was finally sauromatians and began to imitate good principles, in which I sincerely believed. In the state appeared false, seen it all, from the representatives of the nomenclature to ordinary farmers. It was then, I think, a wonderful story about a visitor from the future turned into a dummy.
unlike our Western fiction originally was a dystopian, there honestly stated that man is by his nature being vile, he will always find dirt in ourselves and in the world.
Yes, to reach the beautiful far was much harder than letting it go. As sad joke fiction, we have traded a bright future “Monday” by Strugatsky on the dark world of “stainless Steel rat” Harrison.
In fact, community development does not stop, as communism was not an inevitable variation in the development of humanity and modern society is not the only way in the future. Sooner or later, I’m sure we will come to a harmonious, humane and convenient for people the world.
If you will live. And while electronic access to a locked home scared and afraid of getting sick fellow citizens. If I told you this story a year ago, would you?
– I would be surprised, but not too much. Pandemics have happened in world history before, bird and swine flu, for a long time they were false alarms, but sooner or later one of the viruses was to “shoot.”
– The same a century ago the Spanish flu started during the FirstWorld war II: unsanitary conditions, mass migration, have all contributed to its immediate distribution. Now century technologically, the world is very different from what it was at the time. So why weren’t we able to stop a plague on the outskirts?
– the War and then was a secondary factor, I think. Now there is no widespread military action, but there is something that was not in 1919 and active network of passenger and cargo air transportation. This allowed the infection to spread even faster than a century ago. And in antiviral therapy over the course of 100 years is not too successful.
So maybe the problem is that the virus is man-made? And it specifically created for the purpose of destruction of humanity? For example, in one of your latest novels biologists came up with fighting the virus on the basis of normal infant chickenpox children suffer and recover, but for adults, for which it was designed, chicken pox – a deadly disease.
it is Hard to say where exactly this SARS-COV-2, there are quite authoritative opinions both in favor and in favor of another theory. Completely exclude an artificial origin, I would not.
But if this man-made virus, I don’t think the purpose of creation was to cause a deadly worldwide pandemic that it has specifically released, the maximum could be the negligence of the scientists in the lab.
with regard to children’s illnesses, really at a young age chickenpox is easily tolerated in the old days, children were specifically brought to visit sick comrades, that they, too, had been ill, and it was the most natural immunization. But measles can be quite severe in childhood, so you need to be vaccinated.
Scientists urgently develop a vaccine against the current coronavirus. Say, another year, another Long wait…!
– you need to Wait, the vaccine is important. Another issue is that fast is not done.
So during this time it may happen that the world is divided into those who have already suffered COVID-19, like your the dead and risen zombie кваZи, and the rest of humanity. The latter naturally becomes less first more. Possible war between them? Shouldn’t all to quickly recover and not suffer?
– I think to an open confrontation between ill and not ill the case still will not come. But a certain envy and irritation to an already emerging from COVID-19, in security, of course, exist today. Because I have been ill with some even relief can observe what is happening from the side, remove the mask, gloves, to move freely.
no way! No reference that a person was sick and got well, not give. I had coronavirus and think it would be fair to allow those who have recovered back to about��ycnai life.
– I also think that it is necessary to allow survivors to go to work – this will allow some to reduce the economic consequences of the pandemic. Yes, there is some suspicion that immunization is not forever, that it is not so stable, but it seems to me that it is rather the result of a false test. There are too many assumptions and facts to intelligently discuss the consequences, is not enough.
About the coronavirus and its mutations no one really understands nothing. All, including regimens, is based on some assumptions. Why in Italy the infection decimated the elderly, and we get sick and die relatively young – on average, about forty years?
Maybe the reason is that Russian pensioners, who survived the restructuring, the collapse of the Soviet Union, constantly waiting for the worst and ready to protect ourselves from it. Young people are more lax and frivolous, she is not very protected from infection. But this is just my version. It is not excluded that in Russia already circulating the mutated virus, not the one that was in Italy.
can a virus be reasonable? COVID-19 evolyutsioniruet, he wants to live. And so over time does not kill his master, and adapts to it, adjusting, becomes one?
– in order to do that, like a virus, the mind is not needed. If the virus is very active and will quickly kill its host, all around, it just won’t be able to spread. In mild form of the disease he calmly remains in man to live, of course, if it can be called life.
to Call a virus a living creature I would, of course, did not dare. This is something on the verge between living and non-living matter.
by the Way, the state is kind of the same as a virus. And also stands on the brink between the living and nonliving. Any state in order to ensure its future existence and wants everything to know, monitor and so on. It’s his way to survive. Of course, if there is an opportunity to obtain more rights over the management of the citizens, to seize that power will not. To this order of things we went thousands of years, just now the electronic system allow to realize it in reality.
– But like being free?
– Only throwing all smartphones, gadgets, credit cards and fleeing into the wilderness. There is another simple method is to observe the new rules and laws cease to be of interest to regulatory authorities.
– But how to follow all the rules, many of which are frankly delusional? I’m a reasonable man, not a robot, I’m not able to plan in advance, to comply with all artificially created by the algorithms of movement. Well, at least journalists can go anywhere. And writers have the bonuses?
– unfortunately, the writers have no bonuses no. Although I have for many years and journalists are��ist, now, it so happened, the official crust is missing, which I am extremely upset.
In Hollywood films the dystopia is sure there is some kind of underground, which is fighting for the return of the old world. Moreover, it is not marginal, and a community of people who have preserved the code of civilization, the ideology of a free society… do you See in our world today is the makings of a creation resistance such a persuasion?
– But these limitations were not born in a vacuum, but because of the real danger. You have been ill, I have a lot of friends and acquaintances are in hospitals. How can there be resistance when you’re trying to protect?
Yes, of course, there is a certain sluggishness of the state machine, but the ban put pressure on people and at some point they get to spit on the virus, they still break the rules. Although to organize guerilla warfare in this situation is silly.
All that is being done, including for our own sake, our sake. What is the benefit to the state from the numerous prohibitive measures, but to develop a system of tracking and monitoring? In economic and social terms, these innovations solid damage and losses, besides growing irritation of society, every day that isolation is the falling confidence in the government.
to Remove the restrictions, I think I’ll start mid-may, slowly, not because it would be not necessary from the point of view of medicine, an – isolation-economically unbearable. In Europe the same thing happens. Extend the quarantine would be more possible, but too expensive and risky.
So what comes first – the economy or epidemiology?
– the Economy, of course. Although an unplanned situation with the coronavirus was perceived a large capital with some degree of relief. The world economy is overheated for a long time, inflated financial and investment bubbles, and the pandemic can quickly clean up the lead in the state after the just ended war, but without many of its horrors.
Global reset?
Yes, I think for this respectful about everything will be reformatted. Changes exchange rates may have a new monetary standards, not just on dollars but on more solid foundations – for example, gold, platinum or even kilowatt-hours of electricity.
In your novel “the Draft” describes a world where there is no oil. Recently, the oil was worth a negative price: that she was taken, still need to pay. While hydrocarbons were expensive, it made sense to develop alternative fuel of the future, but now it is simply unprofitable.
World without oil in the foreseeable future. Internal combustion engines the electric, it’s one thing periodically charged from an outlet, go to the metropolis on a small machine and quite another for a frost to be transported somewhere far away forty tons of cargo. Again, fuel is only a small part of oil use.
the words of Dmitry Ivanovich Mendeleev: flushing oil is the same, what to heat Bank notes. The oil is, was and will be. But price fluctuation is a normal process. I remember a world where oil was worth two hundred dollars, and the one where she was five.
– Using your books, especially early, is a philosophical idea: the hero is put before a dilemma – to save the little man, or donate them and save the world, the state, the idea, and every time the hero is sent all and saved the person, often myself, but, it turned out, choosing himself, he is saved thereby and all the others… is it Possible now in our situation, the emergence of such a hero alone? Did not time the lonely heroes?
– you Know, recently there was such joke: today, one person cannot change the whole world, but one bat – easily. The role of personality in history is important and it undoubtedly remains.
– will Not work if, as in some science fiction novels with unexpected ending: we will be assured that the world dies of coronavirus that we should be a bit more patient for his salvation, and the epidemic-that actually ended long ago.
– Now is the time that it is impossible. People from different countries and continents to communicate with each other in real time, no matter what happens, everything immediately becomes clear, if it will take a couple months and the news will cease to be so terrifying, it will be clear that the epidemic came to an end.
I’m not a big fanatic of globalization, but it was a common grain, for example, the possibility of free movement on the planet, I planned this spring trip to Seoul, China, Israel and Holland. Unfortunately, everything fell through, and it is very sad. It should be understood that the same liberty will not be for a very long time, not the fact that in the traditional form will remain and the Schengen area.
– to drop everything and leave in the province, where no virus will get it.
Yes, there is speculation that, due to tougher rules and live in the capitals will be uncomfortable and maybe they are empty – once people leave the big cities. Moscow – excessively loaded metropolis, which sucks in the working-age and youngest population, resources. I think the country needs to develop more evenly. Maybe the incident will give a push in the other direction.
– And in what direction will develop the fiction?
– I did not feel right, immediately drop everything and start writing about the epidemic. I think the topic readers yet ate and in everyday life.
– Hard realism does not compare with the most sophisticated fantasy?
Gradually, but not in hot mode, writers come to this subject. After the great Patriotic��governmental had passed twenty years before she was approached literature. It will take time to comprehend what happened.
But if that was your novel – how is it done? Happy ending?
– there is No reason to assume that all will die. I would rather completed it the fact that people are finally thinking about his life, with the result that the epidemic changed us for the better.
