the Reluctance of the Kiev authorities to fulfill the Minsk agreements have led to the fact that in the white light appeared a number of radical forecasts on the future of the breakaway republics of DND and LNR. Here and their official recognition by Russia, and even early adoption in the Russian Federation.
In recent days to the court of Russian public opinion have surfaced another theme: the establishment of the LDNR on the territory of the Russian military base – to protect the civilian population from the provocations of the APU.
I must say that this question has arisen not today, when around the unrecognized republics of the Donbass is a hot debate. It was discussed as far back as 2014. After all, it was already clear that the Russian-speaking population of Donbass from the Ukrainian military expansion is able to protect only Russia.
Today’s events show that over the past six years, this issue has become even more urgent.
the Failure of the Minsk agreements by Kiev, his unwillingness to give special status to the Donbass. And the emergence in the region of hundreds of thousands of Russian citizens who received Russian passports, and whose civil rights Moscow must now protect to determine.
That’s why the desire of some Russian experts, “to strengthen the military presence in schools?” is understandable. Official of NATO bases on the territory of Ukraine yet. But there is a law, adopted by the Parliament, that foreign troops can stay on the territory of Independent and move freely.
Where is the guarantee that in case of escalation of the situation in the South-East of the Republic, they do not “move” in “the second echelon” – the line of contact LDNR Ukraine?
in addition, at the beginning of “zero years” it created a joint team of Ukrainian, Polish and “Latvian Riflemen”.
Based on normal, not even the military logic for such actions need to meet the opposition, that is, mirror reflection of the capacity of its armed groups in the conflict zone. Because of the unrecognized Republic of Donbass – the last outposts on the possible ways of promotion of NATO to the Russian Rostov.
on the other hand, you need to consider this point: and the Minsk agreements (which are ignored by Ukraine), and according to official statements, Russia continues to consider the unrecognized Republic under the jurisdiction of Ukraine. How can you send troops without the consent of Kiev?
should we Wait for a new round of tension in the South-East of Ukraine? Frankly, the events that take place there lately, not encouraging.
– In the current environment from a political point of view, the establishment of a Russian military presence on the territory of the DNI, LC is impossible, – says military expert, chief editor of the magazine “national defense” Igor Korotchenko.- This question can only be after the majority of the inhabitants of the republics will receive Russian passports and become respectively the citizens of Russia.
and then we can talk about creating a common security space.
in the meantime, a military-political decision would be taken, it is an illusion.
– Apparently to take such a step, Russia has yet to officially recognize the self-proclaimed Republic?
– Nothing. As I said, the creation of a common security space-probably after most of the Republic’s residents will become citizens of the Russian Federation. Then Moscow will have the rights and obligations of protecting its citizens. Then there will be a new reality and any possible solutions.
– And how it can be implemented?
– it is too early. In my opinion, today on the Russian military base in the Donbass, the question can not be in principle.
