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The Central election Commission of Belarus refused to make presidential elections transparent. In Minsk believe that the time for reforming the electoral code is lost, therefore, to elect the country’s leader will be, as always. This means that West will likely not recognize the victory of Alexander Lukashenko in their sixth presidential election. However, he is no stranger, “and who does not like it, you can leave the country”.

the Belarusian Helsinki Committee within the framework of the monitoring campaign “human rights Defenders for free elections” was sent to the CEC proposals to increase the level of transparency of elections of the President of the Republic. First, they recommend to organize an open count of votes of voters with a demonstration ballot that no one had any doubts about how much support received by the candidates. In addition, election observers should obtain certified copies of protocols on voting results, and the CEC should publish the voting results disaggregated by polling stations.

the head of the CEC of Belarus Lidia Yermoshina has rejected all these proposals. According to her, the presidential elections will be held according to the current legislation, and initiatives of human rights activists has no place in it. Further, the Electoral code of the country can be changed, but now it’s too late.

Recall, while the Central election Commission of Belarus has not registered any candidate for the presidency of the Republic. Although on 14 July this is the deadline. But the jail went main competitor Alexander Lukashenko in the upcoming elections Victor Babariko and leader of the “street” Sergei tikhanovski. “Father” openly threatened their opponents with physical violence, Recalling the shooting of protesters in Andijan, plans to introduce censorship after the elections and is aggressively looking for foreign agents intervening in the Belarusian elections.

whether under such conditions recognized presidential elections in Belarus, “MK” has found out the scientist Andrei Suzdaltsev

– the Elections in Belarus have always ended with a scandal. But now the situation is much worse, he went to the polls naked and barefoot. Lukashenko has long teetered between East and West, pitting them, but now this strategy is not working. Russia no longer wants to include Minsk and the West in this case he is no longer needed. Given that typically Lukashenko planted its rivals after elections, not before them, this time, Belarus will likely have to wait for new sanctions.

as the head of the CEC Yarmoshyna, the person a really bad memory. Throughout the time she has headed the Republic electoral Commission, there is a continuous and heavy discussion about the need for changes in the electoral legislation. The expert community is encouraged to refuse the registration, ballot box stuffing, and so forth, but ERosina consistently protects its mechanism. She is a remarkable man, who managed to create an electoral system in which voters are superfluous.

However, in 2020, it turned out that her system failed. In particular, it became clear that to collect 100 thousand signatures for a couple of weeks – not a problem, although it is still thought that it was simply impossible. However, Lukashenko said that in any case will not give up power. That is, the elections in Belarus – is a pseudo-procedure required to reassign Lukashenko.

CEC will register alternative candidates, or will be allowed only convenient sparring partners?

– Alternative candidates is Victor Babariko and Valery Tsepkalo. The first is placed in jail, and mock them as children on the fly. The second is also unlikely to allow elections. This time, as in all previous, before the election comes only Lukashenka and a few clowns that will emphasize his strength, will and wisdom.

– But this time, it seems obvious to everyone that the election is not an election…

Yes, and this is a serious mistake for Lukashenko. He thinks that if you stuff all your opponents in prisons, he will live as before. But it is not, the world has changed. In April 2020 due to the coronavirus to Lukashenko Belarusians of the President had become a killer and enemy. This means that in August in Belarus will be a protest vote. However, the CEC will still draw the desired result.

Here the problem is that the opposition has no bright leader. But it is clear, as soon as someone appears, it is immediately sent to jail. For example, Tikhanovski the third attempt found a bag of money, neatly wrapped in a black bag, to find it easier. Belarus is a fief of Lukashenko. Extra people from there just squeeze. In the end, there will be only Lukashenko, the pipeline and the railway, but even so his system will exist. This is not the first time in history. In the 15-17 centuries, the Grand Duchy of Lithuania was a serious problem for Moscow, but then the people there disappeared. They just went in search of a better life.

– If the West does not recognize the victory of Lukashenko in the presidential election, does this mean that he will be forced to flee to Moscow to sign “31-th road map”?

– the West did not recognize only the first and fifth election of Lukashenko. Nothing terrible has happened. But if the EU stop buying from Minsk fuel, then the topic will be interesting… But it’s unlikely because the West is interested in the Belarusian low prices.