Among the innovations, aimed at combating unemployment, the introduction of a minimum hourly wage.
the Government has developed a plan for recovery after an outage that plunged its pandemic. What new things we can do to survive difficult times, he provides? When and by what means the revenues of companies and the population will start to grow again?
This difficult spring, the Russian families with children received a number of new benefits. The government’s action plan in the social sphere and the economy does. And at the same time there were new solutions addressed to people who have been fired or risk to be without a livelihood in the coming months:
In the category of permanent can move only those that were planned regardless of the impact caused by the pandemic. It is bringing to the minimum wage, unemployment benefits and the introduction of allowances for low-income families that have children 3 to 7 years. The latter is now 50% of the subsistence level of the child — average of 5.5 thousand rubles And the Minister of labour of the Russian Federation Anton Kotkov reported recently that in 2021 it may be increased.
But why not to keep large and Federal benefits to poor families with children from 7 to 16 years? After all, there are regions where they would receive only 100 rubles per child per month. “These families are offered other forms of support programmes that encourage the labour activity of parents, — explains senior researcher of Center for studies of income and living standards of the Higher school of Economics Elena Gorina. For example, it is a free training for a new profession with employment opportunities or to conclude a social contract in which the family receives money for the development of private farming or starting their own business”. In its new plan, the government decided to expand the support options provided by backontrack.
will Not persist forever and that the anti-crisis innovation as the ability to issue a grant without certificates of income.
“But it would make sense to keep the new approach in needs evaluation, which was implemented during the quarantine against the unemployed. Usually, when deciding on the allowance, the social services assess the earnings of citizens for the previous 3 months. But during the current crisis, they have been guided by the data about falling of the income of the family directly at the time of seeking help. And it’s the right one! Because poor families usually have no savings. And the loss of even one of the parents creates problems in a moment.”
the Most difficult will be next year. This period, until July 2021., the government’s plan is highlighted in two separate steps. In the first phase the emphasis is on direct monetary payments to victims. N�� the second — the creation of incentives to increase economic activity of citizens and companies. “But if before October 1 of the fall of the economy can not be overcome, it is possible that the previously announced support measures will be extended or introduced new,” — says Gorin.
In March, its level in Russia was 4.7%, assuming everyone who was left without a job and not just officially registered. According to the rector of the Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation Alexander Safonov, to October-November unemployment could jump to 8-10%. The government’s aim is to keep this rate within 5% by the end of 2021.
This rule will be used if the person is hired temporarily for a period up to 3 months. The government hopes that it will reduce the share of shadow payments, which are common in such cases. However, the Deputy Chairman of the FNPR Alexander Shershukov fears that the measure was more to protect employers than workers: “After all, it wouldn’t be as high hourly pay in the U.S. where in some States it reaches $ 15. In the Russian conditions of transfer to payment only for hours can lead to cheaper labor.”
the hourly minimum has not yet been announced. If you just share the monthly minimum wage for the statutory number of working hours, it turns out 76 RUB Obviously to work part-time for such miserable money quite interesting.
“Small business easy to bypass the requirement of payment at the level of the minimum wage, not concluding labour, and civil contracts, which are paid by, not hours, and a number of specific tasks or projects.”
According to Safonov, in the course of finalizing the government plan of action to combat unemployment is to concretize and Supplement. For example, to repeat the experience of 2008-2009., to hold access to the labour market of University graduates. During the crisis a decade ago the government offered them free of charge to learn more a year, to develop more specialized. They discussed the proposal to reduce the age of early exit unemployed retired before 3 years instead of the current two. But the government did not support it.
However, the return of unemployment to pre-crisis levels in six years is achievable. “This task in 2021 will be automatically solved if the economy is recovering from recession, 2020., will grow at least 2.5%. And almost inevitably, if Russia will not face a new wave of coronavirus or other shocks, — believes Deputy Director of the Institute for economic forecasting, Alexander Shirov. But full recovery of GDP last year, will only happen in 2022-2023 years And real disposable income is inhabitedIya — more later. They will start to grow only in the mid 2021., and growth will be slow.”
to Speed things up could be more large-scale state injections in economy. But the Russian government still saves the financial reserves of the country to fill them in the foreseeable future will be difficult, no one expects the imminent return of oil prices to the same height. A set of measures to stimulate non-primary industries standard: subsidies, government procurement, government investment in major transport construction projects, import substitution, digitalization and introduction of other advanced technologies.
“a Good program of import substitution in electronics. Well, that introduced quotas for domestic engineering products in government purchases, says the positive side of the government’s plan Shirov. — The majority of economic incentives addressed to large and medium-sized companies. They will quickly return to its previous momentum. And growth of orders from them and also from the recovery of the purchasing power of the population depends on improving the performance of small businesses”.
the Central ring road in the Moscow region. High-speed highway Moscow — Nizhny Novgorod — Kazan. A bypass road in the city of Togliatti, Yekaterinburg, Kemerovo, Khabarovsk. Bridges across the Volga river near Togliatti and river Zeya in Blagoveshchensk. Reconstruction of highways “Siberia” from Novosibirsk to Irkutsk and “don” from Moscow to Novorossiysk. The modernization of the airports in Perm, Chelyabinsk, Norilsk, Saratov, Khabarovsk, Yakutsk.
