After the success in Cherson, Ukraine is confident of victory. The recapture of the city is “the beginning of the end of the war,” said Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyj a few days ago when visiting the liberated city.

Volodymyr Havrylov, Ukraine’s ex-general, said in an interview with “Sky” that his country had agreed to fight the struggle for the homeland to the end: “There is a decision in our society that we will come to an end,” said Hawrylov.

Havrylov is also certain that a victory for Ukraine is imminent. “It’s only a matter of time,” said the ex-general. “Of course we would prefer it sooner rather than later.” A so-called “black swan” could help here: an unforeseeable event with major consequences. “I think Russia could face a ‘black swan’ at home, such as the collapse of the Putin regime,” Havrylov told Sky.

But Ukraine’s victory will come even if there is no such “black swan”, the ex-general is convinced. “For example, we may be able to enter Crimea at the end of December.” That is not certain, but not impossible either.

Ukraine simply cannot afford a break: “They (the Russians, editor’s note) only want a break to regroup, to bring more soldiers from home,” says Hawrylov. “Therefore we have no right to stop now. We must advance.” His feeling: “I think the war will be over by the end of spring.”

The rocket impact in Poland is still causing a stir two days later. The West suspects that the rocket came from Ukraine – but Zelenskyy blames Russia. This has caused severe criticism of the Ukrainian President.

Just a few days ago, it looked as if Russia had attacked NATO territory. At least that’s what Zelenskyy said, as did other Ukrainian politicians. Current findings refute this thesis. Why did Zelenskyj cause irritation for so long?

With the withdrawal from Cherson, the mood in Russia has also changed among those in favor of the war. Vladimir Putin in particular is counted out. Some observers give him only half a year in power.