MOSCOW, 24 APR — RIA Novosti. Italian scientists Gianluca Rinaldi and Matteo Paradisi examined data on deaths from the coronavirus in Lombardy, stronger than all affected by the epidemic. The results of the study published portal medRxiv.
Rinaldi and Paradise did not use the official statistics of deaths from the coronavirus, as it could be distorted. Instead, they studied data on testing for SARS-Cov-2. The study area included ten settlements with a total population of about 50 thousand people.
Scientists have studied mortality rates for 40 days, starting from 21 February, when the region was closed borders, and in the investigated localities imposed a quarantine. Data for 2020 Rinaldi and Paradise compared with similar indicators for the previous five years.
it turned Out that from 21 February to 4 April of this year on the investigated territory died 341 people, which is about five times more than the average in previous years. In the beginning of April, the mortality rate did not differ from the usual values, which confirms the assertion about the effectiveness of quarantine measures to fight the epidemic.
After that, the researchers analyzed the results of blood tests in the region, which were held after the lifting of stringent restrictions. In the studied area were infected about 40% of the population, in some localities, the figure was 80%. The study authors concluded that the mortality rate of coronavirus is 1.29 percent, and among people older than 60 years, this indicator has made 4,25%. This is lower than in official statistics, but it does not mean that there is no threat: mortality from COVID-19 order of magnitude higher than that of the flu (about 0.1% of the total number of cases. — Approx. ed.). According to Ministry of health of Italy, today was almost 193 thousand infected with a coronavirus, from which he died almost 26 thousand people, or about 13.5% of patients.
the Figures reported in the study of Rinaldi and Paradise, almost coincided with the lethality of the cruise liner Diamond Princess, where 712 of the infected died 13 people. While on the ship the proportion of elderly people was increased.
coronavirus Pandemic has gripped the vast majority of countries in the world. Currently, according to who, infection infected about 2.6 million people, more than 181 thousand of whom were killed and about 700 thousand were cured. The greatest number of infected and victims recorded in USA, Spain and Italy.
Russia ranks tenth in the number of infected is 68, 622, 615 people died, 5568 managed to defeat the disease. In most regions there is a regime of universal isolation, in a number of regions have introduced a system of passes. Russians urged to stay home.
the Latest data on the situation of COVID-19 in Russia and the world presented on the portal stopmanager.of the Russian Federation.
