Russian political scientist and sociologist Greg Yudin gives three reasons why Putin will lose the war. Two of them cannot be influenced by the Kremlin.

For Greg Yudin it is clear that Russia will lose the war. The professor of political philosophy at the Moscow University of Social and Economic Sciences makes three points that he lists on Twitter.

First: the motivation. “The Russian army has no business in Ukraine. No amount of conscripts will solve this problem. On the contrary, it will only make things worse because each subsequent group is less motivated than the previous one,” he writes. And Russia’s youth are becoming a problem for Putin. “Russian youth are skeptical about this war and will increasingly reject it.”

Yudin’s second argument: The Russian army “is too hierarchical and corrupt. Replacing one butcher (sic) with another in military leadership will not change that. The Russian military is built on contempt for soldiers’ lives and suppressing their initiative, because Putin’s state is built on the same principles. In order to repair the army, the state must be changed,” the political science professor analyses.

And third, Russia is dealing with “a coalition that has virtually unlimited resources at its disposal.” Ukraine will “never stop fighting because Putin portrays the war as a war of genocide. The question is whether Ukraine has the means to do so.”

This is currently “Putin’s only hope. Blackmail with nuclear weapons, energy or grain, divisions in Europe and the USA – the coalition is supposed to break all this.”

For Yudin, who primarily researches the political theory of democracy, one thing is clear: “Putin is not invincible. He will be thoroughly defeated, and fairly soon. Unless some useful idiots jump in to save him.”