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the President of Kazakhstan Kassym-Jomart Tokayev withdrew a Deputy mandate from the Parliament and are actually the second person in the country of Dariga Nazarbayeva, the daughter of his predecessor, Nursultan Nazarbayev. Yesterday the head of State was considered all-powerful “grey cardinal”, and today everyone is talking about the decline of his political career. What and why the change in the ruling elite of the Republic, and what now will become of Kazakhstan, “MK” has found out from the experts.

Arkady Dubnov, an expert on Central Asia:

– the Decision is certainly consistent with the President because among a certain number of obligations that gave Tokayev during his appointment to the post of the President of Kazakhstan, was the point about the joint adoption of such things. Accordingly, we are not talking about the coup, as some believe. We see a consistent strengthening of the power of the second President. First, Dariga Nazarbayeva, was appointed a member of the Senate under the presidential quota during the presidency of her father. In addition, in September expires term of its powers, and it was clear that reassign its gone. Tokayev just used the right of the President to withdraw his or her representative. However, he has eliminated the possible excesses of dual power in the country in the period when you need strong and consistent leadership, in particular, we are talking about the suppression of coronavirus.

still Tokayev acted harshly, but effectively, by entering a state of emergency in the Republic. Of course, the situation demanded from him, as the real policy to take advantage of all opportunities to strengthen their power. You can be sure that his decision is supported by the majority of politicians in the Republic, they were against the political ambitions of Dariga Nazarbayeva. In addition, it was negatively affected by the recent scandals: the story of her son, the courts, real estate and so on. These stories greatly undermined not only its image, but also all Kazakhstan. Tokayev had every right to use their powers to end it.

Dariga is the financial and media resources to resist, but there is sufficient support among the population and the ruling elite. She has enough male character, so she can get involved in the fight, but suffer a heavy defeat. She’s on her way to the final overthrow of Kazakhstan’s powerful Olympus.

and finally, agreements between Nursultan Nazarbayev and Tokayev remain in force. Accordingly, the President will retain all rendered him homage, and quite lush will celebrate its 80th anniversary. Guarantee his personal safety will also remain in force. But after the celebration of the anniversary of his impact as a politician will be kept to a minimum. Maybe he will reign, but without any possibility to edit.

In the future, Kazakhstan will not change much. In particular, in foreign policy, he will still remain between China and Russia. In domestic policy, Chairman of the Senate, as before, will demonstrate European values. Still he showed himself as a mild anti-totalitarian politician. Accordingly, people remain positive expectations. Tokaev speaks out against media clamp against the persecution of the opposition, which is ready to go out, does not support tough measures to suppress street protests, and so on. When he felt the weight resistance on the part of supporters of austerity measures. With the resignation of Dariga their position should weaken.

Stas Pritchin, research fellow, Centre for the study of Central Asia, the Caucasus and the Volga – Ural Institute of Oriental studies:

– Dariga Nazarbaeva, in fact, was the second person in Kazakhstan. If with Mr. Tokayev something happened, she had to take the post of acting President of the country. She is the daughter of Elbasy – the leader of the nation, the ruling party and head of the security Council. And until now it was thought that Tokayev, of course, the President, but with Nursultan Nazarbayev he does not go to any comparison by level of authority.

it is Difficult to imagine that the decision to resign was agreed with the head of State. For him the presence of his daughter for the second largest office in the country is a guarantee of security and tranquility for the whole family. Most likely, Tokayev single-handedly took the decision of resignation, Dariga. The transit authority in the country is accelerating. Events unfold rapidly, until recently, nothing was said about what Tokayev strengthens its position.

however, we cannot exclude that the President decided to send her daughter to resign. The relationship in the family is hardly ideal. But the question of the prestige of the first President always meant a lot. From Dariga also did not have any public steps that could be interpreted as a violation of the rules of the game. Some conclusions about the future of Kazakhstan will only be possible after we will know the name of the successor Dariga, for her further appointment if this would happen, and so on.

in General, Dariga has the most powerful media army in Kazakhstan. It controls about 50% of the media in the country. In principle, it is able to fight, but again – Dariga has always been a part of a big family, it was always the father who was protecting her in any way. Now the situation is somewhat different.