The war against Ukraine is not going as planned for the Kremlin. Instead of a victory within a few days, the fighting has now been going on for more than eleven months. For Michael McFaul, former US ambassador to Russia, it is clear: “Putin understands that Russia is losing in Ukraine”. McFaul wrote in an article for the Washington Post.

McFaul provides three arguments for this analysis:

Military experts assume that a spring offensive should save the war against Ukraine for Putin and the Kremlin. But McFaul is optimistic that Putin will not be able to recover from the aftermath of 2022. According to the former US ambassador, there are also three arguments for this, as he points out in the Washington Post:

For McFaul, however, a coup in the Kremlin is unlikely. But, according to the ex-ambassador: “He and his regime will never recover.”