The resignation of Dariga Nazarbayeva from the post of speaker of the Senate may mean that the incumbent President of Kazakhstan Kassym-Zhomart Tokayev has justified the confidence of the first President Nursultan Nazarbayev, who still controls all the power in the country, said the newspaper VIEW political analyst Andrei Grozin. Saturday Tokayev has terminated the powers of Dariga Nazarbayeva.
“the situation has great similarity with what was observed in Uzbekistan Gulnara Karimova. The decline started all of a sudden: suspension from all posts and landing under house arrest. It was all initiated by her father Islam Karimov, who at that time was autocratic, unrestricted, leader of the country. No in Kazakhstan of Nursultan Nazarbayev, which in fact is the main center of power, to make such a decision was impossible due to the fact that the main group of Kazakh elites remain much more loyal to Nazarbayev than Tokaev,” said head of Department of Central Asia and Kazakhstan of Institute of the CIS Andrey Grozin.
As reported by the newspaper VIEW, on Saturday the President of Kazakhstan Kassym-Jomart Tokayev signed a decree on termination of powers of Deputy of the Senate of Parliament of Dariga Nazarbayeva. Nazarbayev’s eldest daughter of the first President of Kazakhstan Nursultan Nazarbayev. She became a member of the Senate from September 2016, the speaker of the house, she was elected in March 2019. In September of 2019 she was re-elected to this position.
In March it became known that in the spring of 2019 in London at the request of law enforcement agencies have arrested property of Dariga Nazarbayeva and grandson of President Nursultan Nazarbayev Nurali Aliyev and his wife Aida. They bought the property more than $ 100 million and issued it to offshore.
The expert reminded that according to the Constitution of Kazakhstan, the speaker of the Senate – the second person after the President. If the head of state in the and or other circumstances are not able to perform his duties, his place is the head of the upper chamber.
The scientist is convinced that it is a technical decision, not a personnel revolution. Dariga Nazarbayeva was appointed speaker of the Senate immediately after the announcement by Nursultan Nazarbayev about the resignation from the post of President.
“Many in the country accepted the appointment as one of the steps potentially give the opportunity to relatives of the first President to maintain a high probability of occupation of the presidential office in case of an uncontrolled development of events if Tokayev for some reason could not lead the country”, – said the Agency interlocutor.
Now the need for such a safety net is not so obvious, because in the last year Tokayev managed to “solid C grade” with several crisis situations, including explosions boepripasovin the military unit, inter-ethnic clashes in the South of the country. He also showed that he is able to cope with the pandemic coronavirus. The country introduced more stringent conditions of isolation, than in Russia. “The finding of such a major policy as Dariga Nazarbayeva behind Tokayev, probably unnerved him, creating serious discomfort,” – says the analyst.
The resignation Nazarbayeva could also be a step towards a society that “really tired” from isolation.
“it is possible that public sentiment one way or another taken into account in this decision simply because the independent Kazakhstan sociology points to the dominance in society of the ill-wishers of Dariga’s Nursultanovna due to the fact that there is a high probability element of the inheritance of the family of the first President of the country of the future government in the country. For all its merits Nursultan many already fed up with his reincarnation in the form of daughters, a nephew, or someone else, the majority of Kazakhs do not wish,” says Grozin.
Now before the second President cleared the field for political maneuvering. “Tokayev becomes more independent figure. In all his statements about Tokayev Nazarbayev has always said that Tokayev is a full – fledged President and to enhance its powers. If all goes in a standard behind the scenes-exclusive mode, it is likely that gradually, the position of the head of the Senate will cease to cause allergies in the presidential administration and the Moscow”, – the expert predicts.
