On 18 July it was announced that in Russia the lowest daily gains over the past two and a half months — 6234 infected. But the next day revealed a new low — 6109, and 591 of them in Moscow, which is almost 14% less than two weeks ago. And in the capital increase are always more than in other subjects, and if we take the regions excluding Moscow and there is recorded at least since the end of may.
In addition, for the first time in three weeks the day he died at least a hundred people. The numbers that are down, give hope that we start moving with coronavirus plateau on the decline. However, the joy is premature, says head of Department research Institute of epidemiology of Rospotrebnadzor, academician Vadim Pokrovskiy, low is still not zero.
Vadim Pokrovsky, head of Department, Central research Institute of epidemiology of Rospotrebnadzor, academician of the Russian Academy of Sciences: “to Say that it’ll continue in two months, not one case will not, it is still early. Now a large level of separation of the people, someone to the country have left, the level of transmission decreased in a natural way. We can still expect, if not the second wave, the individual flashes. This, of course, a natural process. A few years we will have this virus to circulate and then will be big enough immune layer”.
In autumn people come back from summer residences and from vacations, will start classes in schools and universities plus seasonal exacerbation of respiratory infections. All this, of course, raises concerns, as the situation on the planet as a whole — the who recorded the highest increase of cases in the world. Professor, Department of Virology, Institute behalf Belozersky MSU, doctor of biological Sciences Alexey Agranovsky looks to the future with optimism, but today’s drop in numbers considered natural.
a — According to the laws of the epidemic, she should fall.
— That is to say that we descend from the plateau?
a — you Can, if you must, but what will happen tomorrow, nobody can tell
— Is there any surprise that we have such a decline and the world is growing, the record was on the daily growth?
a — It swings, you know, all this can be seen through the year, when all the statistics for all months, different regions, different countries. The laws of the rise and decline of the epidemic is quite complicated. One epidemic is different from the other.
Some hope now lay with the vaccine, which, according to the Minister of health of Michael Murashko, can register in August. Drug tests give good results, and by the middle of next month a small amount of vaccine can go into circulation.
However, some experts doubt whether to vaccinate everyone without exception? Coronavirus is weakened, more than 40% of the patients transferred him to his feet, the population gradually formed population immunity. In any case, the need to vaccinate people from risk groups, e.g. with severe chronic diseases such as diabetes and diseases of broncho-pulmonary system.