The first four days of targetrow in Moscow after weakening of the regime of self-isolation was for non-food retailers and owners of commercial real estate better than expected by market participants. This follows from the statements of the representatives of retail chains that participated in the Friday, June 5, in the meeting in the Ministry of industry. However, in the short term, analysts warn, even this cautious optimism may be replaced by pessimism. More than a third of residents of Moscow are not yet ready to go outside for fear of Contracting coronavirus, which can negatively affect dynamics of growth of traffic in the torgtsentrov. In addition, the drop in consumer income will lead to rejection of purchases not included in the list of first necessity goods.Have OBI and Leroy Merlin in the early days of opening in Moscow of points of sales of non-food goods traffic of buyers were depending on stores from 20% to 40% from the same period last year. And network “Sportmaster”, this figure was even better at 50-60%. This information was announced on 5 June at a meeting in the Ministry of industry and trade with participation of retail chains and representatives of companies managing commercial properties. Content of the meeting with a “b” was shared by several of its members from among the retailers, refusing to comment. According to them, the Ministry has promised to participants of the retail market online to estimate the rate of recovery of the retail sector.Shops grocery chains worked in April and may, when Moscow acted most severe restrictions. Such retailers are expected after the start of the full operation of all targetrow where many retailers are supermarkets and hypermarkets, their revenue will increase markedly. But, as follows from the statements of the representatives of the companies themselves, according to interlocutors “Kommersant”, the proceeds from the 1st of June, when by order of the mayor Sergey Sobyanin in Moscow was opened torgtsentrov, 4 June increased only at Auchan about 10%. At Selgros and Billa revenue remained at the same level.This result is higher than expected control themselves. “Given the fact that Moscow still there are restrictions on movement around the city, this figure justifies the expectations of tenants targetrow,” says one of the interlocutors “Kommersant”.According Watcom Group, Shopping Index (the number of visitors to 1 m) during the whole regime of self-isolation from April to may decreased by 68% compared to the same period last year, but June 1, the depth of the fall was less than 44,5%, in the first four days after the lifting of restrictions of 44.1%.According to the Moscow city hall in the week from 27 may to 2 June, retail trade turnover showed growth of more than 10% and amounted to 6 billion roubles, which is 10.2% more than the previous week. Of them, 2.7 billion rubles amounted to turnover I��constant trade 3.3 billion RUB.— non-food retail.Meanwhile, respondents ‘ b ‘ analysts do not exclude that cautious optimism may be replaced by pessimism. “Polls show that more than a third of citizens advocating for the abolition of restrictions, not ready to get actively outside and contacting— said chief investment strategist “BCS” Maxim Sheyin.— That is discovered torgtsentrov will not be able to achieve the level of revenue, which was in 2019″.Real disposable incomes in the past five years, at first declined, and then went into stagnation. “This year we expect another reduction in the level 2015-2016: 3% to 5%, says the analyst of “freedom Finance” Valery Emelyanov.— Next year the growth in the range of 2%, but still the total amount of disposable income will remain below the level of 2014″.Russians got used to the fact that the negative impact of the pandemic on the economy will be long-term, so I started to optimize their costs, concluded the researchers. Today, more than half of Russians assume that their family spending on over the next few months will not grow, says Director of practice Advisory services in the areas of strategy and operating performance of retail business of PwC in Russia Olga Sumishevskiy.Khalil Aminovich has changed the behavior of buyers and sellers during pandemicity next
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