the forecast for world wheat production in season 20/21 reduced by almost 3.5 million tons. The greatest reduction of USDA yield forecasts for the EU (minus 4 million tons). Also 1 million tons less will be harvested in Kazakhstan and Turkey.
over the past few weeks, the Russian experts have also revised their forecasts for the grain harvest increase. According to the General Director of the analytical center of “Rusagrotrans” Igor Pavensky, this season Russia can raise to 127.5 million tons of grain is the second best result after the record 135.5 million tonnes in 2017. In particular, the wheat harvest could reach 81 million tons. Without including Crimea harvest is estimated almost at 80.4 million tons.
“the USDA underestimates our harvest. The problems of the two regions of the South of Russia and four in Siberia and the Urals kompensiruet records center and of the Volga. In the center of the yield above the record of 2017 is 6%, and in the Volga region rose to a record level in 2017. It should be noted that this year’s wheat involved, a record since 1982 of the square. According to Rosstat, in 2020 for wheat is given of 29.4 million hectares (1.3 million hectares more than in 2019)”, calculates Pavensky.
According to the Russian Ministry of agriculture on August 7 grains and legumes harvested from more than 41% of the area and is more than at the same date last year. The wheat removed more than half of the area. Its yield has already exceeded that of last year. The Russian agriculture Ministry is not yet changed its forecast for the grain harvest – 122,5 million tons.