Minister of labor and social protection Anton Kotkov said that the number of unemployed in the country has exceeded 2 million people and continues to grow, adding that the most difficult period for the labour market still lies ahead. Experts remind that the real level of unemployment in the country is much higher, and improve not only employment, but the economic situation in the country as a whole.
the Number of unemployed in Russia has exceeded 2 million people and continues to grow, said Monday, June 1, Minister of labour and social protection Anton Kotkov in the enlarged session of the Federation Council Committee on social policy.
“Proceeding from macroeconomic parameters and predictions socio-economic development in the Russian Federation, we understand that the most difficult for us is probably third quarter. This is the peak value of the accumulated volume of unemployed citizens, while in the fourth quarter dynamics will be stabilized,” said Katkov.
According to the “Work.ru” pandemic coronavirus has already been reflected in the labour market. By the end of April in rekrutingovoe the service has noticed an increase in the total number of responses among the candidates (14.5%). In particular, increased the proportion of responses for jobs with remote work — from 1.3% in March to 9.4% in April, or 7.2 times.
among the candidates significantly increased the demand for part time job:
“According to our study among more than 3,500 users “Work.ru” from all regions of Russia, 21% of inhabitants of Russia began to earn money due no main place of work. Another 12% of respondents said that they found a part-time job to increase total income”, — told “Газете.Ru” Director of service marketing at Xenia Kournikova.
The “Avito Work” record drop in the number of vacancies in the fields of tourism, restaurant business, arts and entertainment:
“These industries are experiencing a deep crisis, are not able to return to the normal operating mode and the number of jobs here fell by half from their usual numbers,” reports the category Manager service Dmitry Puchkov.
Russia does have a growing number of unemployed citizens, and it will continue, confirms researcher of the laboratory of labor market research HSE Pavel Travkin.
“we Have two unemployment rates: the first consists of those who registered with the employment service, receive benefit. To the second belong those who are looking for work yourself through communication, recruitment services. Before the crisis, the ratio of officially unemployed to those who are not registered in the service, was 1.5 by 5”, the expert explains, adding that the reasons why most of the unemployed not registered with the service — very different.
Earlier it was reported that in Russia only the officially registered unemployed, there are 1.92 million persons, on methodology of the International labour organization in this category could be considered 4.3 million people, or 5.8% of the working population, results in similar figures the head of Department of analytical researches “Higher school of financial management” Michael Kogan.
“This, for example higher than in Japan and China (2.6% and 3.6% respectively), but much lower than for example in USA, where unemployment has reached a level of 14.7% and according to the office of the U.S. Congress on the budget figure by early October will grow to 25%. It will be comparable to the times of the great depression of the 1930-ies, no work can be 25.1 million Americans,” compares the statistics with expert in domestic foreign. According to his forecast, in Russia, the events will develop in the same unfavourable manner, but much less dramatic.
Professor of the Department of labour and social policy of iipam, Ranepa Alexander Shcherbakov said that as the unemployment rose relative to March, it will be clear soon after the publication of the reporting data of Rosstat.
the Lieutenant Paul draws attention to the fact that the labor market is always derived from what’s happening in the economy. The expert believes that now the official number of unemployed is growing for two main reasons: first, economic situation in the country deteriorated, and secondly, to contact the employment service has become easier and more attractive.
“Now the Ministry of labor and the Fes has done a great job in just two weeks, moving to online registration in the employment service significantly simplify this challenging procedure. In addition, the size of the benefit has increased. These changes significantly increased the motivation of people to apply for benefits,” explains researcher of Economics.
the Expert adds that in General the crisis in the country is characterized primarily by falling wages, not rising unemployment. “Many agree to endure a difficult period, to go on unpaid leave, to a minimum of people lose their income, but remain employed,” says the Lieutenant.
as for measures against unemployment, the experts agree that the labor market recovery will depend on the economic situation in the country and the support of the population.
According to Alexander Shcherbakova, the big role played by government support measures, which have already been introduced.
“it is Important not to reduce this support, especially for small enterprises, to stimulate investment processes aimed at economic growth. Thus, it may be possible to mitigate the negative impact of coronaries” — suggests salesignIR “Газеты.Ru”.
Pavel Travkin noted that if you look at foreign experience, successful examples is actually not so much, and they probably are not in the fight against unemployment and the fight against decline of income.
“a Successful model can be called such, when the state begins to thoroughly support the entire population without spending a lot of resources on figuring out how much you lost or gained, you are rich or poor, how many who are supposed to” — explains the expert, setting an example of measures of the German authorities to support the economy.
Irina Vlasova
