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– Now shows the new numbers that each koronasmittet probably infects 0,7 other person. It means that we have got koronasmitten under control, said the High, during the press conference on Monday afternoon.
the Calculations show that each koronasmittet person in the Uk now on average transmits the infection to less than one new person.
Before the strict measures were introduced, infected each of those infected for 2.5 new people. If this development had continued, we had seen the same development as elsewhere in Europe in the Uk, said the High.
If the calculations are correct, it means that koronautbruddet in Norway no longer growing, and that the number of hospital admissions will go down if the measures are introduced, will be continued.
health minister Bent High, warned at the same time to drop all the measures for quickly.
the Measures have done that we have been given a solid edge. We have to keep, let the minister of health.
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the Director of the Norwegian institute of public health (FHI), Camilla Stoltenberg followed up Høies new with to point out that there is uncertainty attached to the calculations and smittetallet.
– But we perceive that we have seen a positive development, and that it appears in the models, said Stoltenberg.
She turned to the two graphs with clearly avflating in the number of hospital admissions and patients who need intensive care for covid-19. If smittetallet stays of 0.7, then the health authorities with the top for the number of inmates on intensivavdelingene is reached.
But there is no model which can say anything with certainty about the koronautviklingen, although we believe that the model we are working with is good, she added.
the Figures also show that it will very little to before we lose control again, completed the minister for health.
According to High, is the most important measures general hygiene measures and to keep the distance.
When it comes to the other measures as closed schools and kindergartens and other, we come back to them. It is not certain that these need to be as long as for that we shall retain control, said the minister of health,
Could flare up again
According to the Filter News is the politicians ‘ point of departure a projection of a FHI model that shows that intensivavdelingene on the Norwegian hospitals will get progressively fewer patients with current measures, in place for approaching overload. FHI has previously been open about the fact that they are very insecure on their own risk analyses.
Filter News also writes that Norway has not solved any problems by stopping smitteveksten in this phase, as it, as of today, probably only a few thousand norwegians who have been infected, and thus may be immune.
This means that there is as great a danger as before relating to the epidemic in full scale, if the measures are changed, and the number of infected blusser up again.
Of those who have been tested for korona in Norway, has around five per cent had proven infection. It makes the Norwegian institute of public health believes it is more than 14.000 koronasmittede in the country, which constitute a small part of the population.
this is considerably lower than that calculated previously, said the director of the FHI, and concluded:
” We’ve won a lot of time by getting smittetallet down, but there remains a lot of work.
More about koronaviruset StatusRåd and infoSiste nyttSpør NRK Status NorgeSist updated: 06.04.20205758Smittet313Innlagt75DødeStatus for Norway
