The forecast of the Ministry of internal Affairs of Germany: in this very positive scenario in Germany infected with coronavirus about 1 million people

the forecast of the Ministry of internal Affairs of Germany: in this very positive scenario in Germany infected with coronavirus about 1 million people the forecast of the Ministry of internal Affairs of Germany: in this very positive scenario in Germany infected with coronavirus about 1 million people
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German scientists have analyzed the epidemic of the coronavirus may spread in Germany. In the working paper of the Ministry of internal Affairs, prepared on behalf of the Minister of internal Affairs of Germany Horst Seehofer, it talks about how the current situation may affect internal security, what are the possible scenarios of the situation.

According to the magazine Der Spiegel, newspaper Süddeutsche Zeitung and TV channels NDR and WDR, in a confidential document entitled “How to take control of COVID-19” the experts recommend to put virus barrier on the example of South Korea, that is, in droves conduct tests consistently and to isolate infected people, reports “German wave”.

the Researchers modeled a scenario in which 6 April, enjoy 50 thousand tests a day, from April 13 – 100 thousand, and at the end of April – 200 thousand.

From the previous methods on the principle of “Carry out tests to confirm the situation” should be abandoned in favor of the principle of “Conduct tests to anticipate the situation.”

With this very positive scenario, the researchers suggest that the infected in Germany are about 1 million people, died about 12 thousand. Stringent precautions should be observed for two months, but then should remain extra vigilant, because the immunity from the virus will get only a small part of the population.

In the worst case, if the government does not take sufficient measures, the authors of the study admit that in the near future will be infected 70 percent of the population; with more than 80% of people in need of intense medical care, will not be able to get to the hospital, and the number of deaths will exceed 1 million.