Viral crisis from the beginning was manifested in the impoverishment of the population, deprived of a considerable part of earnings. Such is the nature of the current state of the global economy. Without a doubt, the poorer Russians. Summed up the results of appropriate surveys of the population. As one would expect, very disturbing. What was the reaction of the government? She suggested solutions to increase revenues? No, the authorities chose to challenge the results of the polls.
the Unfolding crisis came not from the economy, and the economy. It’s not a collapse the debt bubble, not an overproduction of goods. The epidemic of coronavirus first brought new risks to our health, was forced to resort to self-isolation (for which the money paid is not for everyone), which significantly reduced the income. The economy has stalled, plunging into a crisis. If traditional economic crises, first fall shares, then the income, but now the decline in income precedes the onset of the crisis.
authorities Have an understanding of the crisis. Assistant to the President of Maxim … more April 25, said: “all the measures that are now being implemented in Russia, the main priority is the person is a citizen, attempting to keep his employment, attempt to maintain his income”. He revealed the economic sense of such a position: the first phase of development of the crisis is stop the demand from the population associated in particular with quarantine restrictions. “And then, this demand extends to the solvency of the companies that have lost their income, to reduce people, reduce wages. This is the second phase of the crisis, it is exactly what now regulators around the world are trying to fight to make this second phase possible to make softer”.
Polls, however, show distinctly that in practice Oreshkin warning remained unheeded, the level of preparation of Russia to the “second phase of the crisis” clearly inadequate. One in five respondents admitted to a significant drop in income during the pandemic, and one in ten reported a complete loss of earnings. Surveys indicate a further stratification of the Russian population. A significant part of the impoverished, but on the other pole is growing, albeit marginally, from 1.8 to 2.1%, the proportion of those whose monthly income exceeds 100 thousand rubles.
in this situation, the government is doing? Trying to challenge the results of the polls. The approach is as old as the world. The reaction, instead of focusing on the bad news, focuses on the messenger. The polls are declared unrepresentative of their supposedly refutes the dynamics of consumer demand, the increasing in may. Although otherwise simply could not be after a two-month closure of non-food shops.
of Course, polls are not the ultimate truth. But the appeal to scientific calculations also indicates that the unfolding of the “second phase of the crisis” to mitigate failed. According to Rosstat, before the spread of the pandemic in Russia, below the subsistence level income was 12.5% of Russians. This so-called poverty level. In April — at the time an epidemiological shock — this level is estimated to have been made at the Higher school of Economics (HSE), has grown almost in 2 times. On the HSE there are two scenarios — moderate and optimistic, they are built on the basis of the anti-crisis program of the government. In the moderate scenario, the program will lead to a new poverty rate at 16.8%, according to optimistic — 15.9 per cent.
Everything fits together — Russia is on the threshold of a new poverty. You can say that on this important socio-economic indicator Russian society takes a giant step back to 2006. What to do exactly it’s impossible to turn away from this problem, to criticize the polls instead pursue a social policy.
