In the coming weeks the spread of a new coronavirus 2019-nCoV can reach a peak, and they may be infected at least 1 out of 20 people in Wuhan city in China, which is the epicenter of the global epidemic. The mathematical modeling by researchers at the London school of hygiene and tropical medicine, who is quoted by Bloomberg.
Assuming the current trends continue, the peak of the epidemic in Wuhan is projected in the middle or end of February, says researcher Adam Kucharski. We can assume that at the peak there sick about 5 percent of the 10 million residents of the city recognized as the most vulnerable. This is about half a million cases, which is many times more 14982 cases that power China’s Hubei province, whose capital is Wuhan, had counted on the evening of Saturday, February 8.
the Number of registered infection cases in Wuhan and all of Hubei province in the last few days is on the decline. The next two weeks are critical for understanding what is happening, the head of the Department of epidemiology and biostatistics University of Hong Kong Professor Benjamin Cowling. Among other things, it should be clear whether the virus to spread to other areas or already taken containment measures helped to avoid what could become a global pandemic.
the Chinese Authorities have registered more than 37 thousand cases of the new coronavirus in the last two months. More than 800 cases died.