MOSCOW, 1 may – RIA Novosti. Epidemiologist Sarah Kobe, the University of Chicago has called the possible scenarios for the duration of the outbreak of coronavirus. About it reports the magazine Scientific American.

Under the first scenario, the virus mutates and becomes less dangerous. As an example the expert has resulted in a pandemic of Spanish flu in 1918, which killed more than 50 million people. Over time, the disease has become a common seasonal flu.

the Second scenario is to defeat the virus by restrictive measures. So it was with the outbreak of SARS caused by the coronavirus SARS-CoV in 2002-2003, the expert said. Then effective epidemiological control has not allowed the disease to spread widely, and the number of victims was relatively small.

the Third scenario – the creation of a vaccine that will stop the spread of infection. Kobe reminded of the swine flu pandemic in 2009, a second wave of which was prevented thanks to the wide vaccination campaign. In the end, the flu has the same fate as the “Spanish flu” and turned into a seasonal disease.

Epidemiologist noted that to defeat a new type of coronavirus is required a set of measures undertaken by the government, the consciousness of people and scientific achievements.

the world health organization on 11 March announced the outbreak of a new coronavirus infection COVID-19 pandemic. According to the latest world health organization, worldwide there have been about 3.1 million cases, more than 217 thousand people died.

Current data on the situation of COVID-19 in Russia and the world presented on the portal stopmanager.of the Russian Federation.