Less than a week after the elections, the bavarian, the games are made. The direction of the CSU, has announced that the party would initiate without delay negotiations with the Freie Wähler (voters free), a small party purely bavarian very conservative and consisting largely of alumni of the CSU. As everyone expected, the talks with the Greens, a second option is to make up the difference of the votes, have failed from the start. Negotiations must be conducted drum beating, since the Constitution bavarian imposes the 5 November as the deadline for the formation of a new government. It fears above all a vacancy of power.
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To listen to the leaders of the CSU since their defeat sensational last Sunday, one has the impression that the people have granted a clear mandate to govern and to continue as if nothing had happened. However, the CSU has recorded on Sunday, the defeat of the most crushing in its history, and lost the absolute majority which it monopolized for a short break close to for decades. That is why this party, the incarnation of Bavaria, who was in the habit of ruling the roost on this area very prosperous in the south of Germany, will be forced now to deal with the Freie Wähler. Neither Markus Söder, minister president of the Land, nor Horst Seehofer, party chairman and Interior minister Angela Merkel, have not evoked a single moment the possibility of a resignation or a radical change of course.
Summoned by the opposition to take the personal consequences of this defeat, Markus Söder believes that it is above all necessary to avoid a gap in power and give a new government in Bavaria to ensure the stability of the region. As to Horst Seehofer, who for months put a spoke in the wheels to Angela Merkel in trying to impose its hard-line on the issue of migrants, he is adamant and believes that it is not a question of engaging now in a large settlement that would destabilise his sister, the CDU, on the eve of the regional state of Hesse (the area around Frankfurt), which will take place on Sunday, October 28. Those who predicted a great upheaval after the election remain on their hunger.
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This obsession with the German stability policy is perplexing. If the CSU remains the first political force in Bavaria, 37.2% of the votes she has collected are far from being a plebiscite. Since Sunday, many are those who demand the resignation of Horst Seehofer. The surveys indicate clearly that it is the hard line that he has adopted on the issue of migrant workers that has prompted numerous Bavarian away from the CSU to go and vote with the Greens and the populists of the AfD in particular. These two parties are the big winners of this election. They represent an alternative to the left and to the right of the CSU. A lot of Bavarians have, therefore, clearly in favour of the change and against the continuity.
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today We can this absurd situation : voters clearly repudiated Horst Seehofer and yet, in the name of the necessary stability, the latter remains clamped to its two positions. “No experiments” was already the motto of the era Adenauer. Result : the father of the federal Republic remained in power for 14 years. A rule that repeats from : Helmut Kohl was chancellor for 16 years, and Angela Merkel is in its thirteenth year. But if the Germans hate the chaos that reminded them of the Weimar Republic, there are, however, not since a certain time, at each election, to punish the traditional parties. The big losers of the general elections of September 2017 were the CDU and the SPD. Those of the elections to the bavarian, 14, last October, the CSU and the SPD. In both cases, the new governments were in the end identical to those which had just been repudiated at the ballot box.
This way to cling to power and a policy that infuriates many commentators. “The resignation of Horst Seehofer on the evening of the elections would have earned the respect of all, writes Heribert Prantl, one of the large feathers of the German press in the Süddeutsche Zeitung. On the night of the breakup, he would have been able to prove that, in spite of everything, he has the stature of a great statesman. Very few of them know how to recognize when it is time to go. Seehofer could have been one of those. But his sense of guilt is very limited, his habit of always wanting to be right very large. “This desire of stability risk to once again be put to the test in ten days. According to the latest survey released Friday morning by the public tv channel ARD, the CDU and the SPD are expected to collapse again in Hesse. Remains to be seen whether the members of the grand coalition of the CDU-CSU-SPD in Berlin will be performing once again this result as a green light to continue as before… in the name of the sacrosanct stability.
On the same topic in Elections in Bavaria : Merkel undermined by the historical failure of its allies