as soon As the Syrian military, backed by Russian force captured the strategic town near Idlib and moved even closer to the Turkish border, Turkey Syria began the final act. In addition to Idlib, the Syrian government also took a key highway linking Damascus with Aleppo, and strengthened the defense of Aleppo, in anticipation of the onset of supported by Turkish artillery of fighters.
Clear evidence of failure of Recep Tayyip Erdogan to overthrow President Bashar al-Assad can be considered as past week ago in Moscow (and officially confirmed by diplomats) meeting of heads of the Turkish and Syrian intelligence services. Erdogan, it seems, could not only depose Assad, but also to convince the Russians to accept the Turkish interpretation of the events.
Despite the fact that Turkish and Russian economic and military ties have steadily grown stronger, Russia does not show much understanding of the interests of Turkey in Idlib and more broadly in Syria. Meanwhile, Russia is the only hope for Turkey in Syria. Putin quite firmly holds its line and clearly pushes Erdogan to extend a hand of friendship to Assad.
Seeing the inevitable defeat of Turkey in Syria, the two main regional rival of Ankara, Saudi Arabia and the UAE, more inclined to openly support Assad. Do not hide their sympathy to Damascus and other regional powers, including Egypt and Bahrain.
it Should be noted that Erdogan’s Turkey, once considered a model democracy for the Arab world, has now become for some middle Eastern capitals a pariah. So, the Arab League has recently stated that Turkey should not interfere in the Affairs of Arab countries, especially when it comes to Syria, writes in The National Interest, middle East expert at the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) Kamal Alam.
After the defeat of the insurgents by the Syrian army Moscow, probably, will conclude with Assad full-scale cooperation agreement that will be regarded in Turkey as Erdogan’s defeat, teachbased on its goal to overthrow Syrian President eight years ago. However, Ankara needs the deal with Damascus is not only for the return of Syrian refugees from Turkey to their homeland, but also to resolve the Kurdish problem, common counter radical groups that may inflict on the Turkish retaliation after the fall of Idlib.
before the operation “Peace spring” Erdogan faced growing internal and external pressure, including from the three founders of the ruling “party of justice and development” (AKP), former President Abdullah gül, the former Prime Minister, Ahmet Davutoglu, as well as the chief architect of the economic success of the AKP Ali Babacan.
Sharply criticizes Erdogan and the opposition. Political opponents of the Turkish leader is dissatisfied with how he solves the problems associated with the Kurdish peace process, the costs of Syrian refugees, the high price of Turkish military intervention and unnecessary interference in the Affairs of Syria.
Erdogan and the AKP now openly declare their readiness to accept Assad if he wins the democratic election, turn 180 degrees to the Turkish President. Ankara also recognizes the existence of contacts between special services of two countries. In addition, Erdogan is trying to reassure the Turkish Kurds, allowing the imprisoned Abdullah Ocalan to communicate with his supporters through letters. Ocalan, who was once supportive of Damascus, said recently about the need for negotiations with Assad for a peaceful solution to the Kurdish problem on both sides of the border.
meanwhile, on Wednesday Erdogan during a speech at the meeting of the parliamentary group of the AKP, said that Turkey makes Assad regime warning due to the hostile actions of Syrian army in Idlib province. “We are doing our last warning,” concluded the Turkish leader.