The Point : Your predictions on the impact of the sars coronavirus are cold in the back…
Clemens fu is : We have studied several scenarios. The first is based on the judgment of about one-third of the activity for a month, before a return to very rapid where the production would regain its pre-crisis level in a month. In this scenario ” benin “, the German GDP will decline by 4 % in 2020. The worst-case scenario envisages a shutdown of half of the production for three months. The recovery would then gradual for four months. In this scenario black, that does not seem quite i…
