at the beginning of April on social networks scattered anecdote: “the Pandemic has a great impact on nature. Back in the village makeup artists, programmers, PR people”. Anecdote angry, but he well captures the essence – indeed, as a result of coronavirus crisis reduced the number of jobs, many had no choice, and they were forced to return to their small town. However, the light at the end of the tunnel is in sight: soon, the restrictive measures will be canceled, and the Russians will return to the usual rhythm of life. Will be pulled if the residents of the regions again in the city for big money? Experts of the rating Agency Moody’s believe for sure once again will be allowed the uncontrolled movement between regions, the impressive flow of migrants will flock to more prosperous regions. The only question is that they will have to wait.
According to the authors of the study, in the next two years risk losing the population of Chuvashia, Bashkortostan, Samara, Omsk and Nizhny Novgorod region – the fastest way people go to work in the cities. This is explained by several reasons, among them, a weak social support, poor infrastructure and low incomes.
– Today is a relatively decelerated the movement of shift workers: someone remained without work, someone is stuck in their hometown. However, this is temporary: alas, in relatively small cities will soon have nothing to eat, and they rush to earn a living in the big city. It is important to understand that the watch they went not from good life, but the mode of life to which they have become accustomed over the years, broken. It will be difficult, but there is a fact that Finance will still be concentrated in large cities, says the sociologist Peter Ivanov. – But I would argue with an anecdote about the village and the PR man in the city back first don’t they, people who do manual unskilled labour. It will be a difficult labor competition – after all, you need to understand that among the residents of Moscow or Petersburg too many remain without work, but on the positions of janitors, porters and other workers seriously will press the visitors.
in addition, among the potential reasons postcoronary migration experts call high employment in the services sector (trade, hotels, salons that are most affected by the crisis). Here you may find an interesting trend.
– I Have a hypothesis that among the so-called “watch” will change the gender balance: to come to big cities to work will not only men are traditionally considered as breadwinners, but women – said Ivanov.
According to him, we are talking primarily about those who are busy at work, not requiring skill: for example, the cashiers. There is another scenario: young women�� who leave their children in hometown with grandparents, while they themselves go to Moscow or Petersburg to work… no, not someone socially unapproved, and not even a degree. Or without a degree, if it is not – seller, a manicurist, a waitress in a cafe. These women are trying to spend on their own needs as less as possible (for example, remove the housing by sharing the cost with other girls), and most of the wages sent home to support their child. That is actually living exactly the same way as newly arrived men, and family visited at the weekend: transport allows it. After the introduction of quarantine, a way of life it is difficult to conduct in large cities the risk of running into a penalty (with no mask, gloves or omission) and thus negate many of the efforts on earnings. In addition, the disappeared of the jobs.
– When we talk about services, it is important to understand whether these people were completely without work or still continued to work unofficially? I know that in many major cities those hair salons or nail salons continued to work, only, relatively speaking, through the back door and if you call in advance. In addition, the masters often have own client base which will not leave entirely without income, and you can work at home, Ivanov continues.
Here, however, there is an important caveat: but does this “client base” solvency? Manicure or eyebrow coloration obviously is not included in the list of vital procedures, and reducing income – and with this nuisance during a pandemic faced one in every three women will refuse from pleasant rituals of “self-love”. It is therefore logical that the master will go to look for clients in Metropolitan areas where the standard of living has always been higher, and those wishing to make a manicure during the crisis will be more. And, accordingly, will press Moscow manicurists – although there is reason to hope that nail at all enough.
– Much more trouble I cause those who are engaged in catering establishments, because the cafes and restaurants will not be able so quickly to be restored after the pandemic. Here is a direct pattern: the better the system was promoted “to” more complicated “after”. Although Moscow was not the champion in the number of establishments per capita as St Petersburg or Krasnoyarsk, was not a champion in the number of employed in the field of nutrition. Accordingly, among the waiters, cooks, hostesses will be tough competition, – said Ivanov.
